Monday, 18 November 2013

Brazil - F1 Prediction League (Season Finale - Round 19)

It's time for the season finale! It all comes down to this. Brazil always produces exciting races so we can expect even more from the battles throughout the field - the battle for third, for sixth, for tenth. There's even great battles in the constructors with Lotus and McLaren only separated by 1 point fighting for second.

The great thing is that we have a mammoth random category and no Vettel picks for qualifying! This is definitely the most open weekend in terms of picks in a long time.

Good luck to all. Let's fight to see who gets the final victory of the season.

To refresh your memories, here's a quick round-up of the standings so far:






End of Season Awards
There are a number of awards to give out at the end of the season (top three for each category):
  1. Best qualifying pick
  2. Best race pick
  3. Best constructors pick
  4. Best random pick
  5. 'Mark Webber' award (to the most unlucky player throughout the season)
  6. The Conservative award (to the player who posted the most picked qualifying, race or constructors pick the most times)
  7. The Originality award (to the player who posted the most picked qualifying, race or constructors pick the least times)
  8. Multi 21 (to the player who finished one place above their teammate in the most events)
  9. The 'Hulk Smash' award (awarded to the player who beat their teammate the most convincingly during the season)
  10. No. 1 fan award (awarded to the player who picked a driver more times than anyone else e.g. if a player picked Chilton 10 times more than anyone else they'd likely win)

For a full guide to the 2013 season including stats and other F1 prediction league articles, please go to: F1 Prediction League 2013

It's finally great to get all active players set up in their teams for next year.
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Random Category for Brazil (The Brazilian Bolt)



Which player will complete Interlagos in the quickest time? (based on five different categories).


The idea is to break the circuit into five different sectors, each with a question/category:

Sector 1 (Senna S, Curva do Sol and Reta Oposta) - best time = 17.8 seconds
Turns 4, 5 and 6 (Descida do Lago and Ferradura) - best time = 11.5 seconds
Turns 7, 8 and 9 (Curvo do Laranjinha and Pinheirinho) - best time = 14.2 seconds
Turns 10, 11 and 12 (Bico de Pato, Mergulho and Juncao) - best time = 13.7 seconds
Turns 13, 14 and 15 (Subida dos Boxes and Arquibancadas) - best time = 13.8 seconds
Theoretical best time = 71 seconds

You'll lose time depending on how far your picks are away from the ideal picks.
 
Sector 1 - Which driver will be the quickest in qualifying with the following handicaps applied:-

Vettel
Grosjean -0.6 seconds
Rosberg -0.65 seconds
Hulkenberg -0.85 seconds
Alonso -0.85 seconds
Perez -1.00 seconds
Ricciardo -1.20 seconds
Bottas -1.25 seconds
Di Resta - 1.3 seconds
Van der Garde - 2.45 seconds
Chilton -3.15 seconds

Your time will depend on how far your driver is behind the overall best pick. For example, if Vettel is the best pick and you picked Chilton who was 3.95 seconds behind (and has a 3.15 seconds handicap) you'd score 17.8 seconds (the best possible time) + 0.8 seconds = 18.6 seconds.

Turns 4-6 - Which teammates will be the closest in time adding their difference in both FP2 and FP3?

If Button and Perez are split by 0.03 seconds in FP2 and 0.31 seconds in FP3 then you'd add the totals to get 0.34 seconds. 

As above, the best pick will score you 11.5 seconds. Each additional place down will add an extra 0.06 seconds to your time.

Turns 7-9 - Which driver will finish the most positions above their teammate in the race?

This is a simple category, tie-breaks will be decided on the position of the lead driver, the closer to the lead, the better.

Anyone who picks a driver whose teammate retires or if they retire will automatically score an average time. For each position away from the ideal pick a further 0.065 seconds will be added to the time.

Turns 10-12 - Which team will gain the most combined positions from their grid position in the race?

Tie-breaks will be decided on the position of the lead driver, the closer to the lead, the better. Retirements will be classed as 0 gain, 0 loss. Each position away from the ideal pick will add an additional 0.07 seconds onto your time.

Turns 13-15 - Which team will have the greatest combined speed trap reading in qualifying?

Every place away from the ideal pick adds 0.05 seconds onto your time.






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I know the random is a bit crazy but I wanted to do something more grand for the finale especially with so many close battles throughout the field. If you hate it feel free to respond and I'll never do it again!

The scoring system works as follows:
Best picker: 3 points
2nd and 3rd: 2 points
4th, 5th and 6th: 1 point

Note 1: if there is an overall tie on weekend points and the usual method of race > constructors > qualifying > random cannot settle the difference, constructors points will be decided on actual random scores.

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Reminder: No Vettel qualifying or race picks and no Red Bull constructors picks. This is a Vettel free zone.


Post your picks in the following format -

Qualifying: 
Race:
Constructors:
Random:-
S1:
T4-6:
T7-9:
T10-12:
T13-15:


The deadline for Brazil picks is Friday 22nd November 12:00 GMT (before FP1). 

Good luck and may the best picker win! If anyone's worried about block picking, please email me with your picks here. Then I can post your picks during FP1 when possible. Same rules apply as usual, after you've made your picks you'll have a very small window to correct (1 hour) and then they're set in stone.

17 comments:

  1. Qualifying: Webber
    Race: Alonso
    Constructors: Ferrari
    Random:-
    S1: Alonso -0.85 seconds
    T4-6: Mercedes
    T7-9: Alonso
    T10-12: Ferrari
    T13-15: Force India

    Interesting random. I wasn't sure about a lot of them but here goes!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Qualifying: Webber
    Race: Webber
    Constructors: Merc
    Random:-
    S1: Rosberg
    T4-6: STR
    T7-9: Big John (Grosjean)
    T10-12: Sauber
    T13-15: STR

    This is great, really interesting.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Qualifying: Webber
    Race: Webber
    Constructors: Lotus
    Random:-
    S1: Vettel
    T4-6: McLaren
    T7-9: Grosjean
    T10-12: Ferrari
    T13-15: Force India

    I really like the complexity of this random category, but the points given for it doesn't really make that much of a difference. Imho more points would make it more important thus more exciting.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm definitely interested in talking about a change to the points system after the season ends.

      We could do:

      Qualifying 7 points
      Race 7 points
      Constructors 6 points
      Random 5 points

      Or

      Qualifying: 8 points
      Race: 8 points
      Constructors: 5 points
      Random: 4 points

      I would be interested to hear people's thoughts. I don't particularly want a radical re-thought but a slight shift in values could work.

      Delete
  4. Qualifying: Hamilton
    Race: Vettel
    Constructors: Red Bull Racing
    Random:-
    S1: Bottas
    T4-6: Williams
    T7-9: Grosjean
    T10-12: Ferrari
    T13-15: Williams

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hey ediglo, sorry Vettel and RB are banned from picking. I like your attempt to get it through though ;) Definitely would be the best pick if possible.

      Delete
  5. Qualifying: Webber
    Race: Webber
    Constructors: Lotus
    Random:-
    S1: Chilton
    T4-6: Mercedes
    T7-9: Alonso
    T10-12: Force India
    T13-15: Ferrari

    ReplyDelete
  6. Aled Lewis' picks are:

    Qualifying: Webber
    Race: Hamilton
    Constructors: Lotus
    Random:-
    S1: Hulkenberg
    T4-6: Force India
    T7-9: Di Resta
    T10-12: Toro Rosso
    T13-15: Force India

    ReplyDelete
  7. My picks are:

    Q: Webber
    R: Webber
    C: Mercedes
    R:
    Rosberg -0.65
    Red Bull
    Hulkenberg
    Marussia
    McLaren

    ReplyDelete
  8. Sangan we need the good result for this weekend man , I'm counting on you.

    Qualifying: Hamilton
    Race:Hamilton
    Constructors:Mercedes
    Random:-
    S1:Rosberg
    T4-6:Caterham
    T7-9:Hulkenberg
    T10-12:Mclaren
    T13-15: Force India

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hey Dragan! Let's go for it. Can we wrap up constructors? I hope so. Maybe covering two different options will give us the best chance of winning.

    Qualifying: Webber
    Race:Webber
    Constructors:Lotus
    Random:-
    S1:Grojean
    T4-6:Caterham
    T7-9:Grosjean
    T10-12:Toro Rosso
    T13-15: Force India

    ReplyDelete
  10. Qualifying: Webber
    Race:Webber
    Constructors:Lotus
    Random:-
    S1: Grosjean
    T4-6: Mercedes
    T7-9: Alonso
    T10-12: Williams
    T13-15: Toro Rosso

    ReplyDelete
  11. My picks for Brazil are

    Qualifying: Mark Webber
    Race: Mark Webber
    Constructors: Mercedes
    Random:-
    S1: Rosberg
    T4-6: Red Bull
    T7-9: Nico Hulkenberg
    T10-12: Force India
    T13-15: Ferrari

    ReplyDelete
  12. Qualifying: Webber
    Race: Webber
    Constructors: Ferrari
    Random:-
    S1: H├╝lkenberg
    T4-6: McLaren
    T7-9: Grosjean
    T10-12: Ferrari
    T13-15: McLaren

    More complicated and complex random categories like this would be great! I also agree that it should worth more points. Imho race should be the most important, so what about 8/6/6/5 points for Race / Qualifying / Constructors / Random?

    ReplyDelete
  13. Joe's picks:

    Qualifying - Webber
    Race - Webber
    Constructors - Mercedes
    Random T1-3 - Rosberg
    Random T4-6 - McLaren
    Random T7-9 - Hulkenberg
    Random T10-12 - Ferrari
    Random T13-15 - Force India

    ReplyDelete
  14. Just before the deadline.

    Rajaram's picks:

    Qualifying : Rosberg
    Race : Rosberg
    Constructors : Mercedes
    Random :
    Sector 1 : Perez
    T4-6 : Button and Perez
    T7-9 : Hulkenberg
    T10-12 : Force India
    T13-15 : Ferrari

    ReplyDelete
  15. I support the current points system

    ReplyDelete